The Mets host the Phillies tonight in Game 3 of the NLDS. The series is tied 1-1 following a thrilling Sunday night matchup that included a game-winning single in the ninth with two outs from Nick Castellanos. The Phillies winng 7-6 after dropping the first game on Saturday, 6-2.

Playoff baseball is truly one of the most enjoyable postseasons when your team isn't involved. The high stakes and unpredictable nature of the game, which can turn on a single swing, are perfect for the outsider looking in—and ripe for betting. So, what can we expect Tuesday night in Queens? How about some runs!

The Mets and Phillies have faced each other 12 times in the regular season and twice now in the postseason. In the regular season, the total runs scored between these teams averaged 9.84. In the postseason, their run average has been 10.5. The total for tonight's game is set at 7 runs. With 11 out of their 14 meetings exceeding that total, I like the over tonight at Citi Field, where it will be a comfortable 65 degrees with wind gusting at 8 mph to right field.

The Pick: Over 7 (-115)