Total Takedown: Celtics at Cavaliers

Team Totals. It is a simple bet, one with historical data to leverage and an easy rooting interest to understand. Here, Cal TT will take you through the game of the day using wit, readily available information, and vibes. I cannot stress this enough. Data and vibes are the backbone of a team total pick.

On Saturday night we fell. I said data be damned, the bounce-back Celtics can will us to 110 points. They could not. Despite an impressive offensive showing from the fellas, the Celtics were only able to win 106-93. And Cal TT moved to 5-1.


Monday's matchup of Celtics vs Cavs game four is a big one for a Cavs team desperate to even the series and force a Celtics return trip. As Jaylen Brown said, this Celtics team did not come to Cleveland for the weather. And I suspect this Cavs team did not come to the postseason for victories.

The Cavaliers team total tonight is 98.5. In ten playoff games, this Cleveland team has exceeded 98 points only three times. They average just over that number at 99.2 in their five home games, and have only exceeded 98 once so far through the first three games of this Celtics series.

With Donovan Mitchell and Jarrett Allen both listed as questionable, I do not think they exceed 98 points tonight. I strongly suspect Mitchell will give it a go, and likely Allen will too, but with both of their production being limited and this Celtics team leaning into figuring out their defense without Porzingis presence in the frontcourt, I like the Celtics to hold them under tonight.

The Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers Team Total Under 98.5 (-110)
The Record: 5-1